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2006 QV 89


2006 QV 89 - Near - Earth asteroid of the Apollo class, about 30 m in diameter. Opened on August 29, 2006, when the distance from the Earth to the object was about 0.03 a.e. , and the elongation was equal to 150 degrees. The observation arc is short and is only 10 days. Since 2006, the asteroid has not been observed. According to estimates, the asteroid can approach the Earth on September 23–27, 2019 at a distance of 0.04 a.e. [four]

2006 QV 89
Asteroid
Minor Planet CategoryApollo , NEO [1]
Discovery [2]
DiscovererCatalina sky survey
opening dateAugust 29, 2006
Orbital characteristics [1]
Age : April 27, 2019 ( JD 2458600.5)
Perihelion0.92454 a. e. (140,000,000 km ) (q)
Aphelion1.2847 a. e. (190,000,000 km ) (Q)
Semimajor axis ( a )1.1920 a. e. (180,000,000 km ) (a)
Orbital eccentricity ( e )0.22441 (e)
Sidereal circulation period1.30 years
The average anomaly ( M o )217.85 ° (M)
Inclination ( i )1.0714 ° (i)
Longitude node ( Ω )166.06 ° (Ω)
Pericenter Argument ( ω )236.72 ° (ω)
physical characteristics
Dimensions~ 30 m (98 ft ) [3]
Absolute magnitude25.3 [1]

Possible collision with the Earth

2006 QV 89 has a small inclination of the orbit (1.07 °) relative to the ecliptic plane and MOID relative to the Earth about 10,200 km. [1] The position of the Earth in space at this moment is known, but the position of the asteroid at the same moment is determined with low accuracy. Since no asteroid has been observed since 2006 and the observation arc is short, the Sentry Risk Table estimates the probability of an asteroid colliding with the Earth on September 9, 2019 as 1 chance out of 9100. [3] According to the JPL Horizons ephemeris on September 24, 2019, the distance from the asteroid to Earth will be 0.04 a.e. with uncertainty (significance level 3σ) ± 10 million km. [5] NEODyS shows the date of approach on September 23 with a minimum distance of 0.03 AU [6] The European Space Agency website estimates the chance of impact as 1 to 7300 on September 9, 2019. [7]

Monte Carlo simulations using Solex 12 with 1000 model implementations of the asteroid showed that many possible positions of the asteroids intersect with the Earth. [8]

The asteroid will be in a confrontation near the end of July 2019, while it is estimated that the apparent magnitude will be ~ 22. [6]

Convergence

date ofbut. e.distances to the moonheavenly body
1968-12-25 13:100.03919415.3Earth
2006-09-05 15:570.0204517.97Earth
2019-09-23 12:540.04075015.9Earth
2032-12-21 17:570.0176416.87Earth

Notes

  1. ↑ 1 2 3 4 JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2006 QV89) ( unspecified ) . Jet Propulsion Laboratory . Date accessed March 19, 2019. Archived March 18, 2019.
  2. ↑ MPEC 2006-Q58: 2006 QV89 (neopr.) . IAU Minor Planet Center (August 30, 2006). Date of treatment March 19, 2019. (K06Q89V)
  3. ↑ 1 2 Earth Impact Risk Summary: 2006 QV89 (neopr.) . NASA / JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office. Date accessed March 19, 2019. Archived December 29, 2018.
  4. ↑ 2006QV89 Close Approaches (Neopr.) . NEODyS (Near Earth Objects - Dynamic Site). Date accessed March 19, 2019. Archived March 19, 2019.
  5. ↑ Go to JPL Horizons. Table Settings: only need "20. Observer range & range-rate" AND "39. Range & range-rate 3-sigmas".
    RNG_3sigma = uncertainty range in km. (Soln.date: 2019-May-30 generates RNG_3sigma = 8948856 for 2019-Sep-09)
  6. ↑ 1 2 2006QV89 Ephemerides for July-Sept 2019 (neopr.) . NEODyS (Near Earth Objects - Dynamic Site). Date accessed March 19, 2019. Archived March 19, 2019.
  7. ↑ esa Risk List (unspecified) . European Space Agency. Date of treatment June 6, 2019. Archived June 6, 2019.
  8. ↑ Solex clones (Peter Thomas)


Source - https://ru.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2006_QV89&oldid=101159247


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